{"id":42889,"date":"2025-01-14T13:20:51","date_gmt":"2025-01-14T12:20:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/p-portal.net\/?p=42889"},"modified":"2025-02-21T10:25:53","modified_gmt":"2025-02-21T09:25:53","slug":"da-li-je-trgovska-gora-najbolja-lokacija-za-zbrinjavanje-radioaktivnog-otpada","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/p-portal.net\/en\/da-li-je-trgovska-gora-najbolja-lokacija-za-zbrinjavanje-radioaktivnog-otpada","title":{"rendered":"Is Trgovska Gora the Best Location for Radioactive Waste Disposal?"},"content":{"rendered":"

During his appearance on HRT\u2019s Dnevnik (available here<\/a>, archived here<\/a>), Dr. Ton\u010di Tadi\u0107<\/strong>, a physicist and nuclear energy expert, argued that Trgovska Gora is a suitable location for radioactive waste disposal, stating that it was chosen based on a decade-long study. (The full broadcast is available on the HRTi platform under Dnevnik 2, November 13, 2024.<\/em>)<\/p>\n

Discussing the planned construction of the Radioactive Waste Disposal Center at the former \u010cerkezovac military barracks in the municipality of Dvor, Tadi\u0107 asserted that it is \u201ca location with the lowest probability of an earthquake, even for an earthquake with a recurrence interval of 10,000 years.\u201d He also stated that the location is \u201cmuch less risky than any other in Croatia\u201d and that \u201cCroatia has no better location for this purpose.\u201d<\/p>\n

What Do Official Data Say?<\/strong><\/h2>\n

To verify Dr. Tadi\u0107\u2019s claim that \u010cerkezovac on Trgovska Gora has the lowest probability of an earthquake, even for an earthquake with a recurrence interval of 10,000 years, we consulted official data from the Geophysics Department of the Faculty of Science, University of Zagreb (PMF), which has produced Croatia\u2019s seismic hazard maps<\/a>.<\/p>\n

In 2011, PMF created updated seismic hazard maps for recurrence intervals of 475 and 95 years. These replaced outdated maps from 1987, which were no longer scientifically reliable. The 2011 maps<\/a> are now part of Croatia\u2019s General Rules on Seismic Actions and national building standards, which regulate seismic risks for construction. Furthermore, seismic hazard maps with a recurrence interval of 10,000 years are no longer legally used in Croatia because they express seismic force through earthquake intensity rather than ground acceleration, which is the current European standard.<\/p>\n

Aside from referencing an outdated and legally inapplicable seismic map, Dr. Tadi\u0107\u2019s claim that \u010cerkezovac has the lowest probability of an earthquake is also questionable. Analysis of the official seismic hazard maps for recurrence intervals of 475 and 95 years contradicts his statements.<\/p>\n

\"\"
Seismic Hazard Map (Recurrence Interval of 95 Years)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

According to the 95-year recurrence interval map, \u010cerkezovac is in a zone marked with a ground acceleration value of 0.6, placing it in the same seismic risk category as large parts of Croatia (see the map). The map shows that areas such as Baranja, Osijek, Vukovar, Vinkovci, and Ilok have a lower seismic risk than \u010cerkezovac.<\/p>\n

\"\"
Seismic Hazard Map (Recurrence Interval of 475 Years)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Applying the same analysis to the 475-year recurrence interval map leads to similar conclusions. \u010cerkezovac does not qualify as the location with the lowest earthquake probability. It falls into a seismic zone with a ground acceleration value of 0.10, while many other parts of Croatia have a lower seismic risk. Cities such as Pula, Vukovar, and Ilok, with a seismic value of 0.08, are in a lower-risk category than \u010cerkezovac.<\/p>\n

Seismic hazard maps are based on bedrock conditions (Type A soil). However, various soil layers between the bedrock and the surface can amplify seismic effects. Therefore, a precise seismic risk assessment requires seismic microzoning or a detailed site-specific soil study.<\/p>\n

Key Study Still in Progress<\/strong><\/h2>\n

To obtain data on the microseismic zoning of \u010cerkezovac, we contacted the Fund for Financing the Decommissioning of the Kr\u0161ko Nuclear Power Plant and Radioactive Waste Management, which conducted a seismic hazard study as part of the Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA). The Fund responded that the data could not be disclosed until the EIA is finalized. However, preliminary findings indicate that while the \u010cerkezovac site is in a relatively low tectonic activity zone, it is near more seismically active regions, where strong earthquakes \u2013 like the one in Petrinja \u2013 can occur.<\/p>\n

Given these facts, Dr. Tadi\u0107\u2019s statement that the site is \u201cmuch less risky than anywhere else in Croatia\u201d is not supported by available data. Official seismic maps clearly show that Croatia has areas with equal or lower earthquake risks than \u010cerkezovac. Additionally, without the final EIA report, it is premature to claim that Trgovska Gora is the best and safest location for radioactive waste disposal.<\/p>\n

Since the 10,000-year seismic hazard map is no longer legally used; official seismic hazard maps do not confirm that \u010cerkezovac has the lowest earthquake probability; and the detailed seismic hazard study is not yet publicly available, Tadi\u0107\u2019s claims are not supported by existing scientific and expert data<\/strong>. At this stage, without the final EIA and seismic hazard studies, there is no measurable or scientifically verified confirmation that \u010cerkezovac is the best and safest location in Croatia for radioactive waste disposal.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

 <\/p>\n

Funded by the European Union \u2013 NextGenerationEU.<\/p>\n

Views and opinions expressed are however those of the author(s) only and do not necessarily reflect those of the European Union or the European Commission, nor the positions of the Agency for Electronic Media. Neither the European Union nor the European Commission, nor the Agency for Electronic Media can be held responsible for them.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

We have fact-checked the statements made by Dr. Ton\u010di Tadi\u0107 on HRT\u2019s Dnevnik, where he claimed that the planned radioactive waste disposal center at Trgovska Gora is located in an area with the lowest probability of an earthquake, even one with a recurrence interval of 10,000 years.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":42430,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"none","_seopress_titles_title":"","_seopress_titles_desc":"","_seopress_robots_index":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[392],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-42889","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-fact-check-en","infinite-scroll-item","generate-columns","tablet-grid-50","mobile-grid-100","grid-parent","grid-33"],"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/p-portal.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/Tonci-Tadic-1.png","featured_image_src_square":"https:\/\/p-portal.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/Tonci-Tadic-1.png","author_info":{"display_name":"Du\u0161an Cvetanovi\u0107","author_link":"https:\/\/p-portal.net\/en\/author\/dusan"},"rbea_author_info":{"display_name":"Du\u0161an Cvetanovi\u0107","author_link":"https:\/\/p-portal.net\/en\/author\/dusan"},"rbea_excerpt_info":"We have fact-checked the statements made by Dr. Ton\u010di Tadi\u0107 on HRT\u2019s Dnevnik, where he claimed that the planned radioactive waste disposal center at Trgovska Gora is located in an area with the lowest probability of an earthquake, even one with a recurrence interval of 10,000 years.","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/p-portal.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42889","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/p-portal.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/p-portal.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/p-portal.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/p-portal.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=42889"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/p-portal.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42889\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":42954,"href":"https:\/\/p-portal.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42889\/revisions\/42954"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/p-portal.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/42430"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/p-portal.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=42889"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/p-portal.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=42889"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/p-portal.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=42889"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}